The photovoltaic industry is picking up a new round of overcapacity

Abstract Will the photovoltaic industry, which is warming up after the country continues to release positive signals, re-enter the muddy overcapacity due to blind investment? Will some small enterprises with backward production capacity and technology be revived? Under the current situation that the cloud is not clear, PV companies How to resist...
Will the photovoltaic industry, which is warming up after the country continues to release positive signals, re-enter the muddy overcapacity because of blind investment? Will some small enterprises with backward production capacity and backward technology be revived? In the current situation where the cloud is not clear, how should PV companies resist risks? These issues are still worthy of consideration and vigilance.

"The merger and reorganization of the photovoltaic industry should be to integrate production capacity. We must not blindly expand production capacity because of profits." Wu Dacheng said that from the perspective of market mechanism, after the first two rounds of fluctuations, investment should be more rational.

It is worth noting that the policy level seems to have been planned for this. The "Regulations for Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industry" was issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. The code clearly states that enterprises and projects that do not meet the requirements will no longer enjoy policy support such as export tax rebates and domestic application support.

Liu Hanyuan believes that staged overcapacity is not terrible. It cannot be simply criticized. "This is one of the characteristics of the market economy. It creates pressure and motivation for producers and technological advances, provides and solves consumer demand, and makes costs more and more The lower the efficiency, the higher the efficiency." In his view, the biggest highlight of the Third Plenary Session of the 18th Central Committee is to fully affirm the market's decision-making role in the process of resource allocation and economic development, and to resolve the staged overcapacity of the photovoltaic industry. We must fully understand and respect the laws of the market, and the government does not have to intervene too much.

Distributed photovoltaic power generation, which is currently being popular in the market, also has some problems to be solved.

Although the subsidy policy is determined, there are still some problems to be considered in the actual operation. For example, who will build it? The construction of photovoltaic power station requires a lot of money and has a long payback period. Therefore, the main body of investment and its sustainability are very important. How to sell electricity? Guaranteed? Distributed photovoltaic power plants are mainly self-sufficient, but the surplus electricity generated by the grid is still controlled by the power grid. Policies are needed to effectively guarantee the full acquisition of the power grid; can the subsidies be timely in place? In the early stage of operation of large-scale ground power plants, subsidies It is still to be seen whether the arrears have occurred and whether the distributed power station can solve the aging problem of subsidy distribution well.

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